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Salesforce (CRM) up 41% YTD?

Salesforce (CRM) up 41% YTD?

Bottoms-up stock fundamentals and top-down narratives

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Phoenix Learning
Dec 08, 2024
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Phoenix Learning Hedge Funds
Phoenix Learning Hedge Funds
Salesforce (CRM) up 41% YTD?
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Salesforce (CRM) is up 9% in the past 5 days after it reported earnings and up 41% YTD. The stock was on a steep decline in 2022 after peaking in Nov 2021, but it just hit all-time highs.

Stocks are driven by both bottom-up individual stock fundamentals and top-down narratives (sector-specific and macro).

What has been happening with Salesforce and software more generally illustrates this dynamic perfectly. Let’s dive deeper to understand why:

  • What does Salesforce do? Quick example.

  • Salesforce’s business model: SaaS-like with some extra layers.

  • CRM’s decline in 2022 and the Software Recession.

  • CRM’s inflection point and recent performance explained (earnings, AI narrative, key debates) - up 50% in the past 6 months.

  • Looking ahead for CRM - a great long?

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